Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 76.280914 84.967582 93.938011 103.871272 114.540275 125.633363 138.017137
2025-01-12 62.798959 75.497779 89.307548 105.345665 123.362738 142.884058 165.538529
2025-01-19 52.821548 67.122501 83.258881 102.625596 125.046246 149.999842 179.680899
2025-01-26 48.570732 64.594969 83.223764 106.170559 133.360870 164.245431 201.662018
2025-02-02 44.598468 61.838775 82.430411 108.386678 139.772652 176.051025 220.690558
2025-02-09 40.638309 58.662914 80.753710 109.207583 144.262195 185.429264 236.795954
2025-02-16 38.583087 57.655493 81.548258 112.883516 152.086416 198.723601 257.573405
2025-02-23 35.876094 55.544009 80.736680 114.377962 157.109503 208.589308 274.259745
2025-03-02 32.217866 51.860071 77.635173 112.724642 158.015580 213.301659 284.625207
2025-03-09 29.300514 48.955537 75.344716 111.922198 159.835006 219.026567 296.167330
2025-03-16 26.961674 46.680172 73.733503 111.864676 162.494522 225.728901 308.897285
2025-03-23 25.925711 46.203714 74.513401 114.949783 169.215949 237.571007 328.114809
2025-03-30 24.201773 44.632280 73.743007 115.968790 173.333000 246.292782 343.714295
2025-04-06 22.482141 42.945849 72.716328 116.572378 176.879423 254.317047 358.533052
2025-04-13 19.981644 39.834290 69.445168 113.871155 175.835176 256.283940 365.534517
2025-04-20 19.472651 39.869111 70.764086 117.637070 183.577375 269.757508 387.423121
2025-04-27 18.641779 39.308247 71.145319 120.035375 189.450366 280.815896 406.277473
2025-05-04 17.493452 38.126204 70.514075 120.915954 193.200601 289.075347 421.543729
2025-05-11 17.163652 38.319701 71.983195 124.871307 201.265218 303.140238 444.510954
2025-05-18 16.312611 37.536020 71.881833 126.478164 206.031023 312.819282 461.788552
2025-05-25 14.785966 35.423427 69.575099 124.700315 205.936653 315.911542 470.360493
2025-06-01 13.572004 33.781156 67.930568 123.837216 207.081262 320.643678 481.101926
2025-06-08 12.607001 32.527338 66.849994 123.775343 209.338129 326.878524 493.867610